Power generation under post Copenhagen emission reduction pledges
Résumé
The study relies on the ETSAP/TIAM-FR approach performing the optimization of the energy system in the long-term with explicit descriptions of the technologies used: it is based on an explicit formulation of the input-output relationships for each technology and minimises - over the chosen time horizon 2000- 2050 and for a given final services demands - the total discounted cost. We assess for the period the evolution of energy consumptions (primary, electricity generation) global and regional emission levels, and global and regional costs of the climate policy. We will address the ability of national energy system to curve the past trends in order to reach those targets, first relying on the actual technical structure of the energy production and consumption system. In this framework, we will assess how the energy system in general and the electricity generation in particular can evolve over time to follow different low carbon future policies? The results show a complex impact of the mitigation policies on the future electricity mix and technologies. Keywords: Long term Planning. Linear programming. Power systems.